econ-240a econometrics section website - first half, fall 2008

instructor: Michael Jansson [Email | Webpage]
gsi: Owen Ozier | Webpage]
official website: http://www.econ.berkeley.edu/~mjansson/Courses/ECON240A_FALL08/ECON240A.html
SECOND HALF WEBSITE: Richard Crump's Teaching Page: http://www.ocf.berkeley.edu/~crump/teaching
gsi fixed office hour: Every Thursday, 2:30-3:30pm, Evans 608-3
gsi variable office hour: Wednesday, Oct 8, 3:30-5:00pm, Evans 508-5
Wednesday, Oct 15, 4:00-5:00pm, Evans 508-5
Thursday, Oct 16, 2:00-4:00pm (not 2:30-3:30), Evans 608-3
sections: Fridays: either 12-2PM 61 Evans, or 2-4PM, 203 Wheeler
review q&a session: Saturday Oct 18, 11AM-1PM, Tolman 2304
"midterm" Monday Oct 20th, 10AM-11:30AM (80min), 247 Cory Hall

section schedule

Section 0 - Fri Aug 29 Introductions; Administration; Chen '08 and the Monty Hall Problem.
Section 1 - Fri Sep 05 Sets; Sigma-algebras; Counting; CDFs and PDFs. (CB 1.1-1.6)
Section 2 - Fri Sep 12 Transformations of Discrete and Continuous R.V.'s; Leibniz's Rule; Expectation; Variance; Simulation (CB 1.6-2.4)
Section 3 - Fri Sep 19 Continuous Uniform; Expectation; Variance; Chebyshev's Inequality; MGF; Poission; Mixed (CB 2.1-3.6)
Section 4 - Fri Sep 26 Conditional Variance; Iterated Expectations; Multivariate Transformation; Borel Paradox (CB 4.1-4.6)
Section 5 - Fri Oct 03 Conditional Variance, Method of Moments, MSE and Best predictors (CB 4.4, 7.2-7.3)
Section 6 - Fri Oct 10 Sufficient Statistics, Completeness (CB 6.2, 7.3)
Section 7 - Fri Oct 17 Hypothesis Testing, Selected review points (CB 6.2, 7.3, 8.3)

supplementary material

Notes on Infimum (Section 3) - 2008.09.19
Notes on Completeness - 2008.10.19

problem sets

PS1 due Tuesday, Sep 16, and PS1 Solutions
PS2 due Tuesday, Sep 23, and PS2 Solutions
PS3 due Tuesday, Sep 30, and PS3 Solutions
PS4 due Friday, Oct 10, and PS4 Solutions
PS5 due Friday, Oct 17, and PS5 Solutions

past final exams

Fall 2003 Exam | 2004: Not Jansson | Fall 2005 Exam | Fall 2006 Exam | Fall 2007 Exam
Fall 2003 Solutions | Fall 2005 Solutions | Fall 2006 Solutions | Fall 2007 Solutions

for fun:

The Monty Hall Problem Strikes Back:
Chen, M. Keith. "Rationalization and Cognitive Dissonance: Do Choices Affect or Reflect Preferences?" (2008)
Keith Chen / Monty Hall in the NY Times, April 8, 2008
Background on Monty Hall problem (1975), links to Three Prisoners problem (1959) and Bertrand's Box paradox (1889)

NY Times on interpreting statistics in medicine (cites Berkeley's Freedman):
Kolata, Gina K. "Searching for Clarity: A Primer on Medical Studies." September 29, 2008.

NY Times on publication bias (pop coverage of New England Journal of Medicine article):
Carey, Benedict. "Antidepressant Studies Unpublished." January 17, 2008.
Original article: Turner, Matthews, Linardatos, Tell, and Rosenthal.
"Selective Publication of Antidepressant Trials and Its Influence on Apparent Efficacy."
New England Journal of Medicine. January 17, 2008.

in memoriam:

Professor David Freedman